FOREX TICKER

09 March 2013

Sun Tzu's approach to the market as a battle field

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Where do you stand on the Battlefield of trading?

A PRIVATE on the front line involved in direct conflict

A FIRST LIEUTENANT directing his dollar soldiers on the battlefield

A CAPTAIN who commands and controls company-sized units (62 to 190 Soldiers)

A  MAJOR organising logistical and operational mission. 

A MAJOR who is operating as a double agent with elegance to the strongest side. ( your broker will hopefully have a share elegance to both sides)
Depending upon your previous trading experience and success or failure with determine where you place yourself within the rankings.



The following quotation is without doubt very suited to the trader’s ability to succeed through having a winner mind set as he conquers all the negative tentacles that are consistently trying to undermine sound and logical determinates. Once a decision to take action has been made, having given due consideration of your trading rules then follow through without delay as he who hesitates has lost. The tentacles of self doubt are very quick to sap the courage and conviction from those who procrastinate.  


“He who has thorough knowledge of himself and the enemy is bound to win all battles. He who knows himself but not the enemy has only an even chance of winning. He who knows not himself and the enemy is bound to perish in all battles.

Know your enemy, know yourself and your victory will not be threatened, know the terrain; know the weather and your victory will be complete.”(Sun Tzu)

A very important twist needs to be taken into account before I continue any further.
Your position within the context of the battle and its various battle grounds must be seen from the perspective of a double agent; I cannot stress enough the extreme importants of this statement for you as a trader, keep it in mind at all times.

If you ever see the market as an enemy then it’s time to change sides, if after having reviewed your rules and confirmation has been found then change or exit your position.
A small drawdown on your account may be acceptable as correct timely entry is sometimes illusive when your patient’s is thin.



Sun Tzu’s philosophy on strategic thinking when it comes to both war and business is extremely good, however in my opinion it is better suited to currency trading.
Primarily because of the way he divides the areas of   confrontation into battlegrounds, which can be superimposed onto a candlestick chart. Anyone who uses candlestick charting as a backdrop to their analysis can with the knowledge obtained from this system learn how to distinguish and divide their chart into the various risk level associated with the matching battleground created by both buyer and seller.

Your road map across the battle fields to complete victory.                
                           


                         Situation Appraisal    




            Formulation of Goals and Strategies
          Evaluation of strategies (battle ground )


              Implementation of Strategies



                                 

                          Situation Appraisal





Let’s say from the beginning that you need to make money to provide for your family the extra comforts and holidays they deserve. Currency trading is the vehicle you will be using to accomplish this very important goal.
Your financial situation is very solid and you have money in a self managed super fund that you will use for trading. Luckily you have assets generating income for day to day living expenses so the pressure on you to perform is not a big problem.
Of course the above is not always the situation; however it is the most ideal financial position to be in when setting out to trade for a living.
Health and state of mind are always an ongoing problem that can also affect a trader’s performance over time and need to be monitored on a regular basis.
With about 6 months part time trading under your belt and a fair degree of success you set out on your journey to advance your knowledge and convert it into dollars.

The first decision the trader must make is where and when to enter the market, in order to do so the trader must draw up some detailed plans before making a commitment to trade. This plan is your entry plan and must have a number of exit options that don’t override your risk profile. More often than not, a good trader will know from price action at the entry point if he is correct or not once having placed his trade.

“With careful and detailed planning one can win: with careless and less detailed planning one cannot win. However much more certain is defeat if one does not plan at all!! From the way planning is done beforehand, we can predict victory or defeat”( Sun Tzu)

Often when the market is running many inexperienced trader cannot resist the temptation to jump in and make some fast easy money and guess what, they do make some fast money but from then onward they give it all back plus more. Not to mention the problem of setting up a bad trading habit that may haunt them for months or years to follow. Hence detailed planning must be under taken to give you a fair chance.

The prerequisites of planning

You must ensure that you have more than just online trading access; I recommend you make sure you have at least 2 other ways to close out or monitor your trade if something goes wrong.

As far as I am concerned trading is a journey as you follow various markets and their movements over hours, day and weeks hence you need a map that allows you to reach your destination with a successful outcome. The map is basically the schedule that you follow from pre opening until the end of your trading session. 

The size of the trade should be of a meaningful amount as this will help you to focus with more intensity, Hence if you  losses money due to making an error in judgement you will learn a valuable lesson, which is likely to stick in your mind long term. A practice account does not have the critical elements needed in order to trade live successfully,  so don’t fool yourself it’s only good for learning how to setup indicators and establish the ground work to trading live without too many hiccups.
 To make real money you will need to lose real money. It is very rare that the opposite applies. Brokers play a numbers game and promote practice accounts all over the internet in order to attract would be traders.
Making money on a practice account is a very false and misleading indicator it’s just a game, not a real business as is live trading.


We are all by nature gamblers of one sort or another, so it is important to have some rules in place that will protect you from the irresistible urge to take a punt on a trade.” Of course at the time it didn’t seem like a gamble at all but after the trade was placed I had some real doubts”
This happens only too often and causes many traders to lose their funds.

Being a day trader myself I have fallen into this trap. My mind swings from one opinion to the other, it’s a buy and I can see the confluence that backs my decision. Five minutes later the opposite appears and I am now sure it’s a sell position I should take. On and on it goes till without any further delays I place the trade only to realise that I have just taken a gamble. Of course my stop lose gets hit shortly after I enter, I am out of the market!! Then I watch the trade reverse and kick myself for not waiting till the gamblers urge had subsided. Or as I do now take a 10 minute break away from the computer to clear the clutter that has built up in my mind.
This rule now protects me from myself and any gambling tendencies that have crept into my trading day.

“He who has thorough knowledge of himself and the enemy is bound to win all battles. He who knows himself but not the enemy has only an even chance of winning.

Now of course after any loosing trade an analysis should be made from a technical point of view after having already found the gamblers pitfall.
In this case I was in two minds about the trade. The first move was up strongly the second move was down with the trend. Hence a trap was set up to entice me to go against the trend which I did.

TO BE CONTINUED......